The Weekly Picks come in two forms – against the spread and straight-up. They are derived using a formula that incorporates splits of DVOA, as well as injury and weather data.
FO’s record of regular-season picks since 2008:
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* Top picks (FO line difference from actual line was more than a field goal) were 33-26-1 in 2017-2018.
† No, we don't know what happened to our accurate picks from 2013-2015, but do not let this discourage you. We stand by our overall performance, and we won’t conceal our down years in order to gain more subscriptions through deceit. The good news is that our picks rebounded the following years.
** 2018 Broken down by predicted line:
- Straight gap TD or more: 62-17, .785
- Straight gap FG to TD: 69-35-1, .662
- Straight gap less than FG: 39-28-1, .581
- Playoffs: 6-5
*** 2017 Broken down by predicted line:
- Straight gap TD or more: 70-16, 81.4%
- Straight gap FG to TD: 65-35, 65.0%
- Straight gap less than FG: 41-27, 60.3%